Weather forecast in north-western Greece: RISKMED warnings and verification of MM5 model

dc.contributor.authorBartzokas, A.en
dc.contributor.authorKotroni, V.en
dc.contributor.authorLagouvardos, K.en
dc.contributor.authorLolis, C. J.en
dc.contributor.authorGkikas, A.en
dc.contributor.authorTsirogianni, M. I.en
dc.date.accessioned2015-11-24T18:34:01Z
dc.date.available2015-11-24T18:34:01Z
dc.identifier.issn1561-8633-
dc.identifier.urihttps://olympias.lib.uoi.gr/jspui/handle/123456789/16866
dc.rightsDefault Licence-
dc.subjectmediterranean regionen
dc.subjectvariabilityen
dc.subjectclimatologyen
dc.subjectcycloneen
dc.titleWeather forecast in north-western Greece: RISKMED warnings and verification of MM5 modelen
heal.abstractThe meteorological model MM5 is applied operationally for the area of north-western Greece for one-year period (1 June 2007-31 May 2008). The model output is used for daily weather forecasting over the area. An early warning system is developed, by dividing the study area in 16 sub-regions and defining specific thresholds for issuing alerts for adverse weather phenomena. The verification of the model is carried out by comparing the model results with observations from three automatic meteorological stations. For air temperature and wind speed, correlation coefficients and biases are calculated, revealing that there is a significant overestimation of the early morning air temperature. For precipitation amount, yes/no contingency tables are constructed for 4 specific thresholds and some categorical statistics are applied, showing that the prediction of precipitation in the area under study is generally satisfactory. Finally, the thunderstorm warnings issued by the system are verified against the observed lightning activity.en
heal.accesscampus-
heal.fullTextAvailabilityTRUE-
heal.identifier.secondary<Go to ISI>://000274995100021-
heal.journalNameNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciencesen
heal.journalTypepeer reviewed-
heal.languageen-
heal.publicationDate2010-
heal.recordProviderΠανεπιστήμιο Ιωαννίνων. Σχολή Επιστημών και Τεχνολογιών. Τμήμα Βιολογικών Εφαρμογών και Τεχνολογιώνel
heal.typejournalArticle-
heal.type.elΆρθρο Περιοδικούel
heal.type.enJournal articleen

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