Comparison of evidence of treatment effects in randomized and nonrandomized studies

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Μικρογραφία εικόνας

Ημερομηνία

Συγγραφείς

Ioannidis, J. P.
Haidich, A. B.
Pappa, M.
Pantazis, N.
Kokori, S. I.
Tektonidou, M. G.
Contopoulos-Ioannidis, D. G.
Lau, J.

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Περίληψη

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Είδος περιοδικού

peer-reviewed

Είδος εκπαιδευτικού υλικού

Όνομα συνεδρίου

Όνομα περιοδικού

JAMA

Όνομα βιβλίου

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Έκδοση βιβλίου

Συμπληρωματικός/δευτερεύων τίτλος

Περιγραφή

CONTEXT: There is substantial debate about whether the results of nonrandomized studies are consistent with the results of randomized controlled trials on the same topic. OBJECTIVES: To compare results of randomized and nonrandomized studies that evaluated medical interventions and to examine characteristics that may explain discrepancies between randomized and nonrandomized studies. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE (1966-March 2000), the Cochrane Library (Issue 3, 2000), and major journals were searched. STUDY SELECTION: Forty-five diverse topics were identified for which both randomized trials (n = 240) and nonrandomized studies (n = 168) had been performed and had been considered in meta-analyses of binary outcomes. DATA EXTRACTION: Data on events per patient in each study arm and design and characteristics of each study considered in each meta-analysis were extracted and synthesized separately for randomized and nonrandomized studies. DATA SYNTHESIS: Very good correlation was observed between the summary odds ratios of randomized and nonrandomized studies (r = 0.75; P<.001); however, nonrandomized studies tended to show larger treatment effects (28 vs 11; P =.009). Between-study heterogeneity was frequent among randomized trials alone (23%) and very frequent among nonrandomized studies alone (41%). The summary results of the 2 types of designs differed beyond chance in 7 cases (16%). Discrepancies beyond chance were less common when only prospective studies were considered (8%). Occasional differences in sample size and timing of publication were also noted between discrepant randomized and nonrandomized studies. In 28 cases (62%), the natural logarithm of the odds ratio differed by at least 50%, and in 15 cases (33%), the odds ratio varied at least 2-fold between nonrandomized studies and randomized trials. CONCLUSIONS: Despite good correlation between randomized trials and nonrandomized studies-in particular, prospective studies-discrepancies beyond chance do occur and differences in estimated magnitude of treatment effect are very common.

Περιγραφή

Λέξεις-κλειδιά

*Clinical Trials as Topic, Data Interpretation, Statistical, *Evidence-Based Medicine, Humans, *Meta-Analysis as Topic, *Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic

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Παραπομπή

Σύνδεσμος

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11497536

Γλώσσα

en

Εκδίδον τμήμα/τομέας

Όνομα επιβλέποντος

Εξεταστική επιτροπή

Γενική Περιγραφή / Σχόλια

Ίδρυμα και Σχολή/Τμήμα του υποβάλλοντος

Πανεπιστήμιο Ιωαννίνων. Σχολή Επιστημών Υγείας. Τμήμα Ιατρικής

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Χορηγός

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